SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Monday, February 9, 2026       2:30 PM      Pete Parsons

 

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* Special Protection Zone (SPZ) provisions apply from November 15 through February 15.  Prescribed burning is not allowed in an SPZ from December 1 through February 15 on days when the daily woodstove “Ordinance” is either “Red,” “Exempt Wood Burning Device,” or “No Burning Period.”  Burning is allowed inside of SPZs all other days, but please use extra precautions and limit forestland burning to units that will not worsen air quality within nearby SSRAs. *

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1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

The persistent upper-level ridge over the western US finally broke down over the weekend.  Sunday brought soaking rain and mountain snow to Oregon.  Most western sites received from .50” to 1.00” of precipitation with several inches of snow above 3-4000 feet.  North-central Oregon saw mostly from .10” to .25” of precipitation.

A weak upper-level trough brought scattered showers today to mostly the NW zones, with snow levels hovering near 3-4000 feet.  Showers will end tonight...leading to inversions and areas of valley fog.

A split-flow jet stream pattern develops Tuesday and Wednesday, with Oregon sandwiched between one branch of the jet over SW Canada and the other over California.  Morning inversions, with areas of valley fog, should yield to fair daytime mixing with generally light NE-SE winds.  Expect partly sunny skies north, and mostly cloudy skies south in the afternoons.  A weather system moving across northern California may produce a few areas of light rain or snow near the California border.  Snow levels will be near 4000 feet north and 5000 feet south. 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

A transitory upper-level ridge brings dry weather on Thursday with partly to mostly sunny skies by the afternoon.  Temperatures remain near average with fair daytime mixing.  However, transport winds turn weakly onshore.

Increasing WSW flow aloft pushes the first in a new series of Pacific weather systems onshore on Friday.  Expect increasing clouds with rain pushing onto the north coast in the morning and slowly advancing south and east during the day.  Rainfall totals could exceed .25” across the NW zones.  Mixing improves, especially north, with increasing SW-W transport winds.  Snow levels drop to near 3000 feet north and 4000 feet south Friday night.

2.  DISPERSION

 

TUESDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning.

Transport wind NNE to NE at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind N to NE at 5 - 9 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 2300 - 3300 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind similar to afternoon.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 605-611, 639 and 616-623 (North and South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning.

Transport wind E to ESE at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind ENE to ESE at 5 - 9 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 2300 - 3300 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind similar to afternoon.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning.

Transport wind NE to E at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind NE to E at 5 - 9 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 2300 - 3300 ft.

Transport wind NNE to ENE at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind NNE to ENE at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind NNW to NE at 6 - 12 mph.

Surface wind NNW to NE at 5 - 9 mph.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

WEDNESDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 2000 ft by late morning rising to 2300 to 3300 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind NE to E at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

THURSDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 2000 to 3000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming W to NW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

FRIDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 1900 ft by late morning rising to 3300 to 4300 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SSW to WSW at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind SSE to SW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Tuesday, February 10, 2026.

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Coast Range

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 3:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

All Zones

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

 

Cascades

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 3:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 605 and 606

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 607, 608, 616, 617, 620, 622, and 623

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 639 and 611

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 610

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. Complete ignitions by 3:30 p.m.***

 

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.