SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Friday, May 22, 2026       2:30 PM      Pete Parsons

 

************************ Holiday Schedule ***************************

The ODF forecast office will be closed on Memorial Day (Monday, May 25th). This forecast includes burning instructions through Tuesday, May 26th.

For questions regarding prescribed burning planned for this period, please call the forecast office at 503-945-7401 prior to 5 p.m. today or after 7 a.m. on Tuesday, May 26th.

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1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

An upper-level ridge over Oregon weakens on Saturday with the flow aloft turning westerly.  Some clouds are likely along the coast, but skies should remain mostly sunny inland.  Increasing onshore flow will bring slight cooling, as the surface thermal trough progresses eastward to near the Idaho border.  Mixing gets limited by onshore flow over the coastal zones but should remain good further inland.  Winds will be mostly W-NW.

The flow aloft turns SW on Sunday, as a stronger weather system approaches the coast.  Skies remain mostly sunny with slightly warmer temperatures.  Mixing should be good, especially east of the coast range, with transport winds turning mostly SW-W.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

Big changes come on Monday (Memorial Day).  A Pacific cold front comes ashore in the afternoon. All zones will be cooler.  Temperatures should drop below average along the coast but remain above average further inland, especially east of the Cascades. Mixing will be excellent with brisk SW-W winds.  Rainfall will increase, from west to east, in the afternoon.  Higher elevations may locally receive up to .50” of precipitation.  All zones should get some showers by Monday night, as snow levels drop to below 5000 feet.

A strong upper-level trough will maintain unseasonably cool and showery conditions for all zones through Tuesday.  Precipitation totals may exceed .25” in the valleys with greater amounts in the mountains.  Snow levels slowly rise to 5-6000 feet.  Mixing will be excellent with NW winds. 

2.  DISPERSION

 

SATURDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603, 612 and 615-620 (North and South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 - 2500 ft by late morning.

Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 2200 - 3200 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1000 - 1700 ft.

Transport wind similar to afternoon.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 605-611, 639 and 616-623 (North and South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 - 3000 ft by late morning.

Transport wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 3500 - 4500 ft.

Transport wind NW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 2000 - 3000 ft.

Transport wind similar to afternoon.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1800 to 2800 ft by late morning rising to 3200 to 4200 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

MONDAY

In the Coast Range mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  In the Cascades mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SSW to SW at 15 - 29 mph during the morning becoming SSW to SW at 20 - 36 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind SSW to WSW at 8 - 14 mph.

 

TUESDAY

Mixing height above 5000 ft throughout the day.  Transport wind SW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning becoming W to NW at 10 - 22 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 8 - 14 mph during the afternoon.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Saturday through Tuesday, May 23 through 26, 2026.

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For Saturday:

 

Coast Range

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 601, 612, and 616 east of R9W

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of Waldport in Zone 612.  Call the forecaster.  Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S in Zone 616.

 

Zone 602 and 603

No burning allowed.  Some burning is possible south of T17S in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 615, 618, and 619

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.

 

Zone 616 west of R8W

Units should be 900 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Rogue River.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 611, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  South of T30S in Zone 616 units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart.

 

Zone 610

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620 and 622

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m.***

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below. Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

For Sunday:

 

Coast Range

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 601 and 612

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units in or near corridors to 500 tons or less.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 400 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Limit burning in or near corridors.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 615 and 616 west of R8W

Units should be 900 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 618 and 619

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T35S.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 616, 617, 622, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T15S through T20S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart.

 

Zone 610 and 620

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 611

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m.***

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below. Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

For Monday:

 

Coast Range

 

Zone 601, 612, 615, 616 west of R8W, 618, 619, and 620

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Avoid burning directly upwind of coastal SSRAs.  South of T35S in Zone 620 units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  North of T3N in Zone 602, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

All zones except zone 611

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T18S through T22S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

Zone 611

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

For Tuesday:

 

Coast Range

 

Zone 601, 612, and 616 west of R8W

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units in or near corridors to 750 tons or less.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S in Zone 616.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Limit burning in or near corridors.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 615, 618, 619, and 620

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.  South of T35S in Zone 620 units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 611, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T12S through T17S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

Zone 610 and 622

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below. Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.