SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026       2:30 PM      Gary Votaw

 

1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

An upper-level ridge is just offshore and causing N flow aloft.  Wednesday will be generally sunny and unseasonably warm, especially in the north.  Burning potential is good, mixing heights best in the Cascades during afternoon with NW-NE winds.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

The ridge will be overhead on Thursday, slowly weakening and moving east.  Look for sunny skies and temperatures well above normal.  Little change is expected for burning potential, mixing heights best in the Cascades.  Winds will be very light from NW-NE.

 

An upper trough nears the coast on Friday when clouds increase but no precipitation is expected.  Mixing will be good with light NW winds.

 

The trough will be centered just offshore on Saturday and will draw some moisture northward for a chance of showers, mainly in the Cascades.  Otherwise, very warm conditions continue under partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Burning conditions look to be good with NNW-NE winds.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

WEDNESDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2800 - 3800 ft.

Transport wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 4000 - 5000 ft.

Transport wind increases to NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1000 - 1700 ft.

Transport wind NNW to NNE at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 605-611 and 639 (North Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft.

Transport wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind increases to NE to E at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1200 - 2200 ft.

Transport wind increases to N to NE at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind increases to NNW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft.

Transport wind N to NE at 5 - 9 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3800 - 4800 ft.

Transport wind NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.

Surface wind increases to N to NE at 5 - 9 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1000 - 1700 ft.

Transport wind NW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind shifts to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.

 

Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2600 - 3600 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 2100 - 3100 ft.

Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind increases to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

THURSDAY

In the Coast Range mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 3400 to 4400 ft during the afternoon.  In the Cascades mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3400 to 4400 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind N to E at 6 - 10 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

FRIDAY

In the Coast Range mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 2000 ft by late morning rising to 2500 to 3500 ft during the afternoon.  In the Cascades mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2400 to 3400 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

SATURDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1400 to 2400 ft by late morning rising to 3800 to 4800 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind NNW to NE at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Wednesday, April 29, 2026.

=================================================================

 

Coast Range

 

Zone 601, 602, 603, 612, 615, 618, and 619

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Avoid burning directly upwind of coastal SSRAs.  Limit tonnage north of Forest Grove/Hillsboro or Sheridan/Willamina in Zone 602.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T17S in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 616 west of R8W

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Rogue River.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 620, and 622

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T20S in Zone 606 - call the forecaster.  East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

Zone 607 and 608

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 639, 610, 611, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  South of T30S in Zone 616 units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.