SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Wednesday, April 15, 2026       2:30 PM      Sherri Pugh

 

1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

A few light showers linger on Thursday after an early chance of frost.  Flow aloft will be from NW as an upper-level low moves inland and ridging builds offshore.  Winds will be from W-N.  Temperatures will warm some but stay below seasonable.  Mixing heights will be good while freeing levels rise to 3-4000 feet.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

Friday will be dry with upper-level ridging and light NW flow aloft.  Freezing levels will climb over 5000 feet and temperatures will rise to near average.  Mixing heights will be fair to good.  Winds will be light and variable while offshore at times.

 

Dry weather continues on Saturday.  Flow aloft turns to come from SW as upper-level ridging shifts east and a low will be far offshore.  Surface winds will be light and variable while transport winds will mostly come from S.  Temperatures will rise above average.  Mixing heights will be fair at the coast and good for the Cascades.

 

Sunday is expected to be dry but will depend on the track of the slow-moving upper-level low offshore providing S flow aloft.  Temperatures will be near or above average and mixing heights will be higher.  Winds will be light and somewhat more from S for the Cascades.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

THURSDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 500 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 605-611 and 639 (North Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 500 ft early rising to 3100 - 4100 ft by late morning.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 10 - 22 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind decreases to WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind WSW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 500 ft early rising to 3300 - 4300 ft by late morning.

Transport wind NNW to NNE at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind similar to afternoon.

Surface wind NNW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.

 

Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 500 ft early rising to 3300 - 4300 ft by late morning.

Transport wind NW to N at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.

Transport wind decreases to NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

FRIDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2100 to 3100 ft by late morning rising to 3200 to 4200 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming E to SE at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

SATURDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1800 to 2800 ft by late morning rising to 3000 to 4000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SSE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SE to S at 4 - 8 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Thursday, April 16, 2026.

=================================================================

 

Coast Range

 

Zone 601, 612, and 616 east of R9W

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units in or near corridors to 500 tons or less.  Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S in Zone 616.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 400 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Limit burning in or near corridors.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 615, 618, and 619

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.

 

Zone 616 west of R8W

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Rogue River.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 611, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T12S through T17S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.  South of T30S in Zone 616 units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.  South of T30S in Zone 617 units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

Zone 610

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620 and 622

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.