SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Tuesday, June 2, 2026       2:30 PM      Gary Votaw

 

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                      We Need Your Feedback!

 

The Smoke Management Department is planning to “upgrade” this product so that it more effectively meets your needs.  To assist us with this project, we are requesting feedback from you!

 

Below are a few questions to help you consider what changes would be most beneficial for you.  All ideas are welcome!

 

Is the “Short-Term Discussion” useful?  What would enhance it?

 

Is the “Long-term Discussion” useful?  What would enhance it?

 

How could the “Dispersion” forecast better meet your needs?

 

Is the “Outlook” useful?  What would enhance it?

 

Are the “Burning Instructions” clear and concise?  How could they be improved for your use?

 

How do you access the forecast product (i.e., Email; web page; telephone recording)?

 

We are considering discontinuing or upgrading the phone recording of the forecast product.  Is that something you currently use?  Would you use it if you could get your specific forecast from it faster?

 

Please Email your feedback to: Peter.GJ.Parsons@odf.oregon.gov

Thank you!

 

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1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

A weakening Pacific weather system moves ashore early Wednesday morning and causes very good mixing conditions with WSW-NW transport winds by the afternoon.  Cloudy skies early will come with a few very light showers, mainly north then some clearing of skies in the afternoon.  Temperatures cool to near average.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

West flow aloft and a very weak ridge brings mostly sunny skies on Thursday, raising temperatures only a little.  Daytime mixing should again be good with very light W-NNW winds.

 

Another weak Pacific system will be centered on the coast on both Friday and Saturday.  Partly to mostly sunny skies will see a few showers in the north half of the region, less than .10” each day, with temperatures below average.  Daytime mixing will remain good on both days with W-NW winds.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

WEDNESDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height 3000 - 4000 ft.

Transport wind SW to W at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3900 - 4900 ft.

Transport wind WSW to WNW at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind increases to WSW to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 3200 - 4200 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NW at 10 - 16 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 605-611 and 639 (North Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height 3600 - 4600 ft.

Transport wind SW to W at 10 - 16 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind WSW to W at 12 - 22 mph.

Surface wind increases to SW to WNW at 5 - 9 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 4300 - 5000 ft.

Transport wind WSW to WNW at 10 - 16 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height 2000 - 3000 ft.

Transport wind SW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising to 3200 - 4200 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NW at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind increases to WSW to NW at 5 - 9 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 3100 - 4100 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph.

Surface wind WNW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph.

 

Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height 3000 - 4000 ft.

Transport wind WSW to NW at 6 - 10 mph.

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind increases to WSW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 3800 - 4800 ft.

Transport wind shifts to WNW to NNW at 6 - 12 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

THURSDAY

In the north mixing height 2600 to 3600 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  In the south mixing height 1700 to 2700 ft during the morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming W to NNW at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

FRIDAY

In the north mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2200 to 3200 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  In the south mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 to 2500 ft by late morning rising to 3800 to 4800 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind WSW to WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning becoming W to WNW at 10 - 22 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind SW to W at 4 - 8 mph.

 

SATURDAY

In the north mixing height 4200 to 5000 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  In the south mixing height 2600 to 3600 ft during the morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming W to NW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Wednesday, June 3, 2026.

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Coast Range

 

Zone 601 and 612

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units in or near corridors to 500 tons or less.  North of Tillamook in Zone 601, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 400 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, and 8 miles from downwind SSRAs.  North of T3N in Zone 602, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)  Limit burning in or near corridors.  Units may be 500 tons or less, spaced 6 miles apart, south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.

 

Zone 615 and 616 west of R8W

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 618 and 619

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)

 

Zone 620

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T35S.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

All zones except Zone 610 and 611

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T15S through T20S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

Zone 610

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 611

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.