SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Friday, December 26, 2025       2:30 PM      Gary Votaw

 

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* Special Protection Zone (SPZ) provisions apply from November 15 through February 15.  Prescribed burning is not allowed in an SPZ from December 1 through February 15 on days when the daily woodstove “Ordinance” is either “Red,” “Exempt Wood Burning Device,” or “No Burning Period.”  Burning is allowed inside of SPZs all other days, but please use extra precautions and limit forestland burning to units that will not worsen air quality within nearby SSRAs. *

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1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

Northwest flow aloft will push well mixed air across the region Saturday.  Showers taper off though skies remain mostly cloudy while cold.  Additional moisture will be .10” or less, possibly .25” the North Cascades.  Temperatures will be below seasonable and snow levels rise only to 2000-2500 feet.  Good mixing can be expected with slowly weakening W-N transport winds.  

 

An upper-level ridge begins to dominate conditions on Sunday with poor burning potential.  Temperatures remain mostly below normal even under mostly sunny skies.  Winds will be light and variable, favoring NE-E.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

The ridge maintains its grip on the region Monday and Tuesday to cause very poor burning conditions.  Sunny skies persist and temperatures rise close to seasonal averages.  Winds will be light and variable.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

SATURDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind W to NW at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind WSW to NW at 5 - 9 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 6 - 12 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1400 - 2400 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

Zone 605-611 and 639 (North Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind W to NW at 10 - 20 mph.

Surface wind SW to WNW at 6 - 12 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind decreases to WSW to NW at 6 - 12 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1700 - 2700 ft.

Transport wind shifts to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.

Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind NW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind shifts to NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1200 - 2200 ft.

Transport wind N to NE at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height above 5000 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1700 - 2700 ft.

Transport wind shifts to N to NE at 4 - 8 mph.

Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1000 to 1800 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind NE to E at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

MONDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1000 to 1800 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

TUESDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1000 to 1600 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Saturday through Monday, December 27 through 29, 2025.

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For Saturday:

 

Coast Range

 

All Zones

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

Zone 610

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 611

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620 and 622

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

For Sunday:

 

Coast Range

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 601 and 612

Units should be 900 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 615, 616, 618, 619, and 620

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.

 

 

Cascades

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 605, 606, 620, and 622

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 607, 608, and 616

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 639

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

Zone 610, 611, and 617

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.  South of T30S in Zone 617 units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart.

 

Zone 623

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m.***

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

For Monday:

 

Coast Range

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

All Zones

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

 

Cascades

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m. in all zones.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m. in all zones.***

 

Zone 605, 606, 620, and 622

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 607 and 608

Units should be 900 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 639

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

Zone 610 and 611

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616, 617, and 623

Units should be 600 tons or less, spaced 12 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

***Avoid ignitions before 10 a.m.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m.***

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.