SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Wednesday, April 29, 2026       2:30 PM      Sherri Pugh

 

1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

Thursday will have one more day of impacts from upper-level ridging and light flow aloft.  The weather will be dry with temperatures rising above average.  Light winds will be variable and offshore at times.  Mixing heights will be high.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

Friday will continue dry with increasing S flow and an upper-level trough offshore.  Winds will turn to come from SSE-S with brisk transport winds.  Temperatures will rise further above seasonable.  Mixing heights will be good.

 

Saturday will be mostly dry but thunderstorms are possible along the Cascades with S flow aloft.  Winds will be from SSE-S.  Temperatures will climb well above average.  Mixing heights will rise high.

 

Showers will increase from the south on Sunday.  The upper-level trough will sink south with ridging off Canada and E-SE flow aloft.  Winds will be offshore and temperatures will climb higher.  Mixing heights will be excellent.

 

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

THURSDAY

 

Mixing height below 300 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning.  Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.

 

Transport wind E to SE at 4 - 8 mph throughout the morning and afternoon.  Transport wind shifts to NE to E at 4 - 8 mph during the evening.

 

Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

FRIDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the afternoon.  Transport wind SE to S at 6 - 10 mph.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming ESE to S at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

SATURDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2700 - 3700 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SE to S at 8 - 12 mph.  Surface wind SSE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind E to SE at 6 - 10 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER

    RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624

    - Valid for burning done Thursday, April 30, 2026.

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Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the ENE through SE of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 15 miles to the ENE through SSE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  Verify transport winds away from SSRAs if burning in any other direction. Watch for shifting transport winds. No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTE:

 

    The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)

    945-7401.  The smoke management forecaster is available

    to discuss specific burns.  The duty forecaster phone

    number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and

    not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please

    avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/lmt.htm

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half mile from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if

    burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons

    per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.