SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Friday, April 10, 2026       2:30 PM      Sherri Pugh

 

1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

Rounds of showers on Saturday will bring up to 0.20” rainfall amounts with some chance of thunderstorms.  Flow aloft will come from S with one upper-level low weakening and another one offshore of California.  Winds will be from S-SSW.  Temperatures cool some to near average.  Mixing heights will be excellent.

 

Rain continues on Sunday with amounts from 0.10-0.50”.  Snow levels will drop to 4-5000 feet with mountain snow likely.  Flow aloft will be light with the upper-level low moving into California.  Temperatures will be below seasonable and mixing heights will be good.  Winds will come from SSW-WSW.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

Showers will end late on Monday with amounts up to 0.10”.  Flow aloft will be light from NW with broad upper-level ridging.  Winds will be from W and temperatures will stay below seasonable.  Mixing heights will rise high.

 

Tuesday will have a break in the rain before more arrives late.  Another upper-level low will dig south toward Oregon with W flow aloft.  Winds will be from SW.  Seasonable temperatures will come with good mixing heights.

 

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

SATURDAY

 

Mixing height below 2000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning.  Afternoon mixing height rises above 5000 ft then lowers to 1500 - 2500 ft during the evening.

 

Transport wind SSW to SW at 10 - 22 mph during the morning.  Transport wind increases to SSW to SW at 15 - 25 mph during the afternoon then decreases to SSE to SSW at 10 - 22 mph during the evening.

 

Surface wind SSE to SSW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning and afternoon.  Surface wind decreases to SSE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph during the evening.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind S to SW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming SW to W at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

MONDAY

Mixing height 2900 - 3900 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind WSW to WNW at 10 - 18 mph.  Surface wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.

 

TUESDAY

Mixing height 2900 - 3900 ft during the morning rising to 3500 - 4500 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind SSW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning becoming SSW to WSW at 10 - 22 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER

    RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624

    - Valid for burning done Saturday through Monday, April 11 through 13, 2026.

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For Saturday:

 

Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the S through SW of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 15 miles to the SSE through SW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

For Sunday:

 

Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the SSW through WNW of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 5 miles to the SSW through NW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

For Monday:

 

Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the WSW through WNW of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 15 miles to the SSW through WNW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTE:

 

    The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)

    945-7401.  The smoke management forecaster is available

    to discuss specific burns.  The duty forecaster phone

    number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and

    not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please

    avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/lmt.htm

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half mile from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if

    burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons

    per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.