SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS
SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER
OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY
ISSUED: Friday,
April 24, 2026
2:30 PM Gary Votaw
1. DISCUSSION AND
FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 637-646
SHORT-TERM
DISCUSSION
An upper-level
trough and NW flow brings partly to mostly sunny skies on Saturday. There is a slight chance of a shower in mountains,
but temperatures remain 5-10oF below the seasonal level. Burning potential is excellent by late
morning and afternoon, with light NW-NE winds.
Very little change occurs on Sunday as the trough remains, but NW
flow weakens. Conditions are partly sunny
and still cool with a slight chance of showers. Mixing becomes excellent by late morning with light
NW-N winds.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION
The trough begins to move east on Monday but not before giving a
chance of a light shower or even a thundershower. The snow level will be around 5000 feet. Mixing conditions remain excellent with light
NW-N transport winds.
Weak NW flow aloft returns on Tuesday, keeping skies partly sunny,
drier and temperatures a little below normal.
Mixing is again excellent as SW winds become W-WNW in afternoon.
2. DISPERSION
SATURDAY
Zone 640, 642,
and 644 West of R35E:
Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the afternoon.
Transport wind N
to NE at 6 - 10 mph.
Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the morning. Surface wind increases to NNW to NNE at 4 - 8
mph during the afternoon and evening.
Zone 637, 643,
645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the afternoon. Mixing height lowers to 3000 - 4000 ft during
the evening.
Transport wind NE
to E at 4 - 8 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to WNW to NNW at 5 - 9
mph during the afternoon and shifts to N to ENE at 6 - 12 mph during the
evening.
Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the morning. Surface wind increases to WNW to NNW at 4 - 8
mph during the afternoon then shifts to N to NE at 4 - 8 mph during the
evening.
OUTLOOK:
SUNDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind NW to N at 6 -
12 mph. Surface wind light and variable
during the morning becoming NW to N at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.
MONDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind NW to N at 6 -
10 mph. Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8
mph.
TUESDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising above 5000 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at
8 - 12 mph during the morning becoming W to NNW at 5 - 9 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind SW to W at 4 - 8
mph during the morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon.
3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 637-646
- Valid for burning done Saturday through
Monday, April 25 through 27, 2026.
==================================================================
For Saturday:
Zone 640, 642,
and 644 West of R35E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the NW through NE
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 10 miles to the
NW through NE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary.
Zone 637, 643,
645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the WNW through E
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 10 miles to the
WNW through E in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRAs if
burning in any other direction. Watch for shifting transport winds. No
additional restrictions necessary.
For Sunday:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the WNW through N
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 10 miles to the W
through N in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary.
For Monday:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the WNW through N
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 10 miles to the
WNW through NNE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary.
=========================================================
4. SPECIAL NOTE:
The ODF forecast
smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and
are available at:
https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf
The smoke management forecaster is
available at (503)-
945-7401. Please call this number and not
individual's
numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over
2000 tons) or burns extending over a
considerable period,
please request a
special forecast. Avoid calling
between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.
http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/
Daily/neo.htm
To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the
email list for this
product, please go to the link:
http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/
Please ensure your units have been planned
and accomplished by
checking:
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml
A map of planned and/or accomplished burns
is located at:
http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html
?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b
5. STANDARD GUIDANCE
MATRIX:
* Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit
to 150 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half
mile from a downwind
SSRA.
* 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50
tons per mile if
burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs.
Limit to 100 tons
per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond
downwind SSRAs.
Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
* Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning
within 5 miles of
downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
* Ensure adequate spacing between units when
burning near downwind
SSRAs.
* Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on
greater than 75 percent of
piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage
per pile will allow a
50 percent increase in tonnage over the
existing instruction tonnage
for that zone.
* All exceptions must be coordinated with the
duty forecaster
prior to ignition.
6. BURN MONITORING:
Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR
629-048-0230(3) -
7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly
recommended for both
smoke management purposes and wildfire
potential.