SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS
SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER
OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY
ISSUED: Thursday,
April 2, 2026
2:30 PM Sherri Pugh
1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST
FORECAST AREA ZONES 637-646
The weather trend will shift away from
rain and mountain snow to dry and warm conditions starting Friday. Quickly building upper-level ridging will
have light NW flow aloft. Freezing
levels will rise to over 5000 feet. Surface
winds will become light and variable. Light
transport winds will be from SW-WSW.
Mixing heights will decrease but generally stay good.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION
The warm and dry weather lasts through
the weekend and early next week.
Saturday will have light NW flow aloft with upper-level ridging. Winds will be light from ESE-S and variable
at times. Temperatures will be well
above average. Mixing heights will be good
despite warmer air aloft.
The upper-level ridge impacts last
into Sunday with well above seasonable temperatures and dry conditions. Mixing heights will be fair to good. Winds will come from SE-SSE.
The upper-level ridge weakens on
Monday with the next low offshore. A few
showers are expected late. Winds will be from S-SSW. Mixing heights will be good.
2. DISPERSION
FRIDAY
Zone 640, 642,
and 644 West of R35E:
Mixing height
below 500 ft early rising to 1900 - 2900 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3300 - 4300
ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.
Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport wind becomes light and variable and
controlled by local terrain during the evening.
Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain.
Zone 637, 643,
645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Mixing height
below 500 ft early rising to 1900 - 2900 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3300 - 4300
ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.
Transport wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the morning. Transport wind increases to SW to W at 4 - 8
mph during the afternoon then becomes light and variable during the evening.
Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain.
OUTLOOK:
SATURDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1600 to 2600 ft by late morning rising to 3300 to
4300 ft during the afternoon. Transport
wind light and variable. Surface wind
light and variable.
SUNDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 3500 to
4500 ft during the afternoon. Transport
wind ESE to S at 4 - 8 mph. Surface wind
ESE to SSE at 4 - 8 mph.
MONDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 4500 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport
wind SSE to SSW at 6 - 10 mph. Surface
wind ESE to S at 4 - 8 mph.
3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON
ZONES 637-646
- Valid for burning done Friday, April 3,
2026.
==================================================================
Zone 640, 642,
and 644 West of R35E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units in all directions of
SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles in all
directions of SSRAs. No additional
restrictions necessary.
Zone 637, 643,
645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units in all directions of
SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles in all
directions of SSRAs. No additional
restrictions necessary.
=========================================================
4. SPECIAL NOTE:
The ODF forecast
smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and
are available at:
https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf
The smoke management forecaster is
available at (503)-
945-7401. Please call this number and not
individual's
numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over
2000 tons) or burns extending over a
considerable period,
please request a
special forecast. Avoid calling
between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.
http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/
Daily/neo.htm
To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the
email list for this
product, please go to the link:
http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/
Please ensure your units have been planned
and accomplished by
checking:
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml
A map of planned and/or accomplished burns
is located at:
http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html
?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b
5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:
* Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit
to 150 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half
mile from a downwind
SSRA.
* 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50
tons per mile if
burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs.
Limit to 100 tons
per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond
downwind SSRAs.
Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
* Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning
within 5 miles of
downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
* Ensure adequate spacing between units when
burning near downwind
SSRAs.
* Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on
greater than 75 percent of
piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage
per pile will allow a
50 percent increase in tonnage over the
existing instruction tonnage
for that zone.
* All exceptions must be coordinated with the
duty forecaster
prior to ignition.
6. BURN MONITORING:
Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR
629-048-0230(3) -
7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly
recommended for both
smoke management purposes and wildfire
potential.