SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS
SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER
OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY
ISSUED: Friday,
April 17, 2026
2:30 PM Gary Votaw
1. DISCUSSION AND
FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 637-646
SHORT-TERM
DISCUSSION
A broad
upper-level ridge will be overhead on Saturday, and temperatures return near seasonal
under sunny skies. Burning potential is
very good with light SE-S winds.
EXTENDED
DISCUSSION
On Sunday and Monday,
the ridge progresses into Idaho while flow aloft becomes weakly SW. Skies will be partly sunny on both days as
temperatures reach 10-15oF above normal. Mixing heights improve into the afternoon
with SE-S winds.
An upper trough
off the northern California coast will begin to move inland on Tuesday to
increase moisture in S flow aloft. Chances
of rain increase late in the day while snow levels are over 8000 feet. Amounts will be less than .10” though they
increase overnight and into Wednesday. Mixing
conditions on Tuesday will become very good SE-SW winds.
2. DISPERSION
SATURDAY
Zone 640, 642,
and 644 West of R35E:
Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising to 2600 - 3600 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises above 5000 ft during the
afternoon then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.
Transport wind
SSE to SSW at 12 - 24 mph.
Surface wind SE
to S at 4 - 8 mph throughout the day.
Zone 637, 643,
645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising to 3200 - 4200 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises above 5000 ft during the
afternoon then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.
Transport wind
SSE to S at 15 - 25 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport wind decreases to SSE to SSW at 10
- 20 mph during the evening.
Surface wind ESE
to SSE at 6 - 10 mph.
OUTLOOK:
SUNDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2600 to 3600 ft by late morning rising to 4000 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. In the
west transport wind SE to SSE at 10 - 22 mph.
In the east transport wind ESE to S at 6 - 12 mph. Surface wind light and variable during the
morning becoming SE to S at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.
MONDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 to 3500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport
wind light and variable during the morning becoming SSE to SSW at 9 - 15 mph
during the afternoon. Surface wind light
and variable during the morning becoming SE to SSW at 5 - 9 mph during the
afternoon.
TUESDAY
Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport
wind SE to SSW at 6 - 12 mph during the morning becoming S to SW at 10 - 22 mph
during the afternoon. Surface wind ESE
to SSE at 4 - 8 mph.
3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 637-646
- Valid for burning done Saturday through
Monday, April 18 through 20, 2026.
==================================================================
For Saturday:
Delay
ignitions until 10 a.m. Zone 640, 642, and 644 West of R35E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the SE through SSW
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles to the
ESE through SSW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary.
Delay
ignitions until 10 a.m. Zone 637, 643, 645, 646, and 644 East of R34E:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the SE through SSW
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles to the
ESE through SSW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary.
For Sunday:
Delay
ignitions until 10 a.m. Follow standard guidance matrix - see section
5 below - for burning units to the E through S of SSRAs. For units that will smolder significantly
through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles to the E through S in
or near drainages leading to SSRAs. No
additional restrictions necessary.
For Monday:
Follow standard
guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the SE through SSW
of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles in all
directions of SSRAs. No additional
restrictions necessary.
=========================================================
4. SPECIAL NOTE:
The ODF forecast
smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and
are available at:
https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf
The smoke management forecaster is
available at (503)-
945-7401. Please call this number and not
individual's
numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over
2000 tons) or burns extending over a
considerable period,
please request a
special forecast. Avoid calling
between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.
http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/
Daily/neo.htm
To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the
email list for this
product, please go to the link:
http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/
Please ensure your units have been planned
and accomplished by
checking:
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml
A map of planned and/or accomplished burns
is located at:
http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html
?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b
5. STANDARD GUIDANCE
MATRIX:
* Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit
to 150 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half
mile from a downwind
SSRA.
* 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50
tons per mile if
burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs.
Limit to 100 tons
per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond
downwind SSRAs.
Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5
miles from a downwind
SSRA.
* Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning
within 5 miles of
downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile
from downwind SSRAs.
* Ensure adequate spacing between units when
burning near downwind
SSRAs.
* Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on
greater than 75 percent of
piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage
per pile will allow a
50 percent increase in tonnage over the
existing instruction tonnage
for that zone.
* All exceptions must be coordinated with the
duty forecaster
prior to ignition.
6. BURN MONITORING:
Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR
629-048-0230(3) -
7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly
recommended for both
smoke management purposes and wildfire
potential.