SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Friday, December 26, 2025       2:30 PM      Gary Votaw

 

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* Special Protection Zone (SPZ) provisions apply from November 15 through February 15.  Prescribed burning is not allowed in an SPZ from December 1 through February 15 on days when the daily woodstove “Ordinance” is either “Red,” “Exempt Wood Burning Device,” or “No Burning Period.”  Burning is allowed inside of SPZs all other days, but please use extra precautions and limit forestland burning to units that will not worsen air quality within nearby SSRAs. *

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1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

On Saturday NW flow aloft will bring air into the region that is still fairly well mixed.  Conditions will be mostly sunny and cold.  Expect moderately good mixing with mainly NW winds. 

 

An upper ridge centered offshore begins to dominate by Sunday with decreasing burning potential.  Mostly sunny skies will help little as temperatures remain below seasonal levels.  Mixing will generally be poor with very light NNE-E winds.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

The ridge maintains its grip on the region Monday and Tuesday to cause sunny skies while temperatures rise above average.  Burning conditions will be very poor with light winds, favoring SE.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

SATURDAY

 

Mixing height 3200 - 4200 ft during the morning.  Mixing height rises above 5000 ft during the afternoon then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.

 

Transport wind NW to NNW at 10 - 18 mph.

 

Surface wind W to NW at 8 - 14 mph during the morning and afternoon.  Surface wind becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the evening.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

SUNDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1400 - 2400 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind NNE to E at 4 - 8 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

MONDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft throughout the day.  Transport wind ESE to SSE at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

TUESDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft throughout the day.  Transport wind ESE to SSE at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER

    RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624

    - Valid for burning done Saturday through Monday, December 27 through 29, 2025.

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For Saturday:

 

Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the NW through NNE of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 25 miles to the NW through ENE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

For Sunday:

 

Delay ignitions until 10 a.m.   Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units in all directions of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles in all directions of SSRAs.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

For Monday:

 

Delay ignitions until 10 a.m.   Follow standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below - for burning units to the E through SSE of SSRAs.  For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles to the E through SSE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.  Verify transport winds away from SSRAs if burning in any other direction.  Complete ignitions by 2:30 p.m.  No additional restrictions necessary. 

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTE:

 

    The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)

    945-7401.  The smoke management forecaster is available

    to discuss specific burns.  The duty forecaster phone

    number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and

    not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please

    avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/lmt.htm

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half mile from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if

    burning within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons

    per mile if burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind

    SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.